Key Takeaways
- Keir Starmer will defend Rachel Reeves’s budget in a speech today, addressing criticisms of the budget’s reception and allegations that Reeves misled voters about the national finances.
- The budget has received mixed reviews, with Labour MPs and bond markets approving, but the public perceiving it as unfair and Reeves’s approval ratings sinking further.
- Starmer will stress his commitment to deregulation as a pro-growth initiative and emphasize the need for welfare reform to prevent young people from getting trapped in poverty and worklessness.
- The row over whether Reeves misled voters about the "black hole" in the national finances continues, with some ministers reportedly saying they were not informed about the reality of the OBR forecasts.
Introduction to the Budget Controversy
The recent budget presented by Rachel Reeves has sparked controversy, with a mixed reception from the public and criticism from some ministers. The theory that budgets that are well-received on the day tend to go wrong later, while those that are widely criticized at the time turn out to be the good ones, does not seem to apply in this case. The budget’s popularity among Labour MPs and bond markets has not translated to the broader public, who perceive it as unfair. Furthermore, allegations that Reeves misled voters about the extent of the "black hole" in the national finances have led to a significant row, with some ministers reportedly saying they were not informed about the reality of the OBR forecasts.
Starmer’s Defense of the Budget
Keir Starmer will give a speech today defending the budget and addressing the criticisms levelled against it. In an article for the Guardian, Starmer has given a flavour of what he will say, emphasizing his commitment to deregulation as a pro-growth initiative and the need for welfare reform. He will argue that the welfare state is trapping people in poverty and worklessness, particularly young people, and that reform is necessary to prevent this. Without providing specifics, Starmer’s speech is unlikely to stop the media from asking about the claims that the Treasury’s pre-budget messaging was misleading.
The Row Over Misleading Voters
The row over whether Reeves misled voters about the "black hole" in the national finances continues, with some ministers reportedly saying they were not informed about the reality of the OBR forecasts. According to a story in the Times, even some ministers are saying in private that the Treasury’s pre-budget messaging was misleading. A cabinet minister was quoted as saying, "Why did Keir and Rachel allow the country to believe for so long that we would break our manifesto by putting up income tax by 2p when they would have known that wasn’t true?" The handling of the budget has been described as a "disaster from start to finish" by the same minister.
Defending the Chancellor
Darren Jones, the Cabinet Office minister and chief secretary to the PM, has been defending Reeves in interviews, arguing that she did not mislead anyone about the black hole. Jones’s line has been the same as Reeves’s, that she still needed to put up taxes to create proper headroom, despite the surplus revealed by the OBR on Friday. The agenda for the day includes a speech by Starmer, a Q&A with Kemi Badenoch, and evidence from Lord Mann, the government’s independent adviser on antisemitism, to the Commons home affairs committee.
The Day’s Agenda
The day’s agenda is packed, with several events and meetings scheduled. At 10am, Kemi Badenoch will speak at a Q&A in London, hosted by the broadcaster Liam Halligan, and Mel Stride, the shadow chancellor, and Andrew Griffith, the shadow business secretary, will also take part. At 10.30am, Keir Starmer will give his speech on the budget, and at 1.30pm, Lord Mann will give evidence to the Commons home affairs committee. Later, at 2.30pm, Craig Guildford, chief constable at West Midlands police, Mike O’Hara, assistant chief constable at WMP, and Simon Foster, the West Midlands police and crime commissioner, will give evidence.
Conclusion and Next Steps
In conclusion, the controversy surrounding the budget and the allegations of misleading voters will continue to be a major issue for the government. Starmer’s speech today will aim to address some of the criticisms and provide a clearer vision for the future, but it remains to be seen whether it will be enough to quell the row. The day’s agenda is packed, and the media will be watching closely to see how the government responds to the criticism. As the situation continues to unfold, it is likely that there will be further developments and updates, and the public will be waiting to see how the government will move forward.


