Overview
- Central and southeast Queensland are predicted to receive 100-300mm of heavy rainfall through Sunday
- Due to a low-pressure trough stalling over Queensland, flood warnings have been issued for multiple regions
- Heavy rain and thunderstorms are expected to intensify on Friday, developing overnight Thursday into Friday morning
- The flood threat also extends into far northeast NSW, with the potential for significant disruption
- Emergency services are advising residents to prepare now with emergency kits and evacuation plans
As flood warnings have been issued across central and southeast regions, Queensland is preparing for a significant weather event. Over the next four days, a multi-day soaking is expected to deliver hundreds of millimetres of rain. Queensland Disaster Management agencies are urging residents to prepare now.
The Bureau of Meteorology has warned that there is a high chance of flooding from Friday into the weekend due to the uncertainty of the location and amount of rainfall. This weather system not only threatens Queensland but also extends into far northeast New South Wales, which could cause significant disruption to travel and daily life.
Weather Alert Summary
There is a dangerous weather system developing across Queensland that will bring heavy rainfall, potential flash flooding, and severe thunderstorms until Sunday. Emergency services are on high alert, with the State Emergency Service already positioning additional resources in high-risk areas. Residents in flood-prone locations should be finalizing emergency preparations and staying tuned to official channels for updates.
Central and southeast Queenslanders, it’s time to check your emergency plans and supplies. The heaviest rainfall is expected to start on Friday and last through the weekend, with cumulative totals potentially reaching dangerous levels by Sunday.
Immediate Flood Alert for Central and Southeast Queensland
The Queensland Government has alerted residents of central and southeast areas to potential flooding, as weather experts monitor a slow-moving weather system predicted to bring heavy rain. This is not a normal storm system – it is a long-lasting rain event that could result in catchment areas filling rapidly. Rivers and creeks that seem safe now could become hazardous by Saturday.
According to meteorologists at Weatherzone, a low-pressure trough is expected to remain over Queensland from Thursday to Sunday, where it will interact with a large mass of tropical moisture. This combination is perfect for consistent heavy rainfall and thunderstorms. The blocking high-pressure system over the Tasman Sea is expected to make the situation worse by keeping this rain-bearing pattern stationary.
Expect More Rain Until Sunday: Here’s What You Need to Know
The rain event will start on Thursday, with the first showers and occasional storms across central Queensland. Although the rain on Thursday is not expected to cause immediate flooding, it will soak the ground, preparing the landscape for possible flooding as the rain becomes heavier. This first rainfall is essentially preparing the ground for what could turn into a major flood event.
Friday’s Escalating Weather Conditions
Friday is the day to watch as the rain and thunderstorms ramp up across central and southeast Queensland. The severe weather is expected to kick off late Thursday night into Friday morning and persist through the day. Flash flooding will become a major risk from this point, especially in city areas where the drainage systems may not be able to keep up.
Local residents should be ready for quickly changing weather conditions and be on the lookout for flash flooding, especially in areas where drainage is poor. Some areas may receive more than 100mm of rain on Friday alone, and there could be even higher totals in places where storms linger.
Weekend Rainfall Predictions: 100-300mm Possible
According to computer models, there is a possibility of an unusually high amount of rainfall from Thursday to Sunday. Central and southeast Queensland could receive 100 to 200mm of rain during this time. Even more alarming are the predictions of more than 300mm of rain in southeast Queensland and far northeast NSW over the four-day period.
Projected Rainfall Amounts (Thursday-Sunday)
In Central Queensland, expect rainfall between 100-150mm with isolated falls reaching 200mm.
In Southeast Queensland, rainfall is expected to be between 150-250mm with isolated falls reaching over 300mm.
In Far Northeast NSW, rainfall is expected to be between 100-200mm with isolated falls reaching 250mm.
Additional rain and thunderstorms are expected to hit central and southern Queensland over the weekend. Computer models are forecasting heavy rain in parts of southeast Queensland on both Saturday and Sunday. Due to the accumulation of rainfall over several days, the risk of flooding will significantly increase, even if the daily totals are not extreme.
Regions in Danger
The most significant flood risk will be in catchment areas that have already received rainfall in the past few weeks. The Condamine, Balonne, and Brisbane River systems are particularly susceptible to rapid increases. Urban areas in southeast Queensland, including parts of Brisbane, Gold Coast, and Sunshine Coast, may experience sudden flooding when storm cells form over densely populated areas.
Communities situated in low-lying areas near major rivers and streams should brace themselves for possible isolation due to flooded roads. Farms and other rural properties might also be cut off for an extended period of time as creek crossings and low-level bridges become submerged.
Flood Warnings and Affected Areas
As of today, flood warnings have been issued for several river systems throughout Queensland. These warnings do not necessarily mean that flooding is imminent but rather that conditions are ripe for flooding to occur in the next few days. The Bureau of Meteorology is keeping a close eye on all major catchments and will upgrade warnings as needed.
It’s important for residents to know the difference between flood watches (where flooding is possible) and flood warnings (where flooding is either expected or already happening). This knowledge is vital when deciding whether to evacuate or take steps to protect property.
Central Queensland Impact Zone
There is a significant amount of rain forecast for the Central Highlands and Coalfields regions beginning Thursday night. Communities in Emerald, Blackwater, and surrounding areas should prepare for potential creek and river rises by Friday. The Fitzroy River catchment may see moderate flooding by the weekend, with impacts potentially extending to Rockhampton in the following days.
Miners in the region have already started to prepare, lowering dam levels and securing equipment. Agricultural areas are facing challenges, with newly planted crops at risk of flooding and erosion.
Flood Watch for Southeast Queensland
The areas of Brisbane, Ipswich, Gold Coast, and Sunshine Coast are currently under a flood watch, with a special focus on the Brisbane River catchment. Urban areas are at risk of sudden flash flooding during heavy rainfall as the drainage systems can quickly become overwhelmed. Suburban creeks can go from being dry to rapidly flowing within a matter of hours during these weather conditions.
There is an increased risk for coastal regions as high tides could obstruct drainage and worsen the flooding. If the low-pressure system strengthens near the coast, there is still a chance of a storm surge.
Flood Risk in Northern NSW
The weather system doesn’t care about state lines, and the risk of flooding reaches into the far northeast of NSW. Communities in the Northern Rivers region, including Lismore, Tweed Heads, and Byron Bay, should brace themselves for possible heavy rain and increasing water levels. Many of these areas are still picking up the pieces from past floods and are especially at risk.
The Source of this Intense Weather Phenomenon
A blend of meteorological elements is coming together to create the perfect storm, resulting in continuous, heavy rainfall. Grasping these factors will help us understand why weather forecasters are particularly worried about the likelihood of flooding in the next few days.
Understanding Stalled Low Pressure Troughs
From Thursday to Sunday, a low-pressure trough will be stationary over central and southern Queensland. This trough is a region of lower air pressure that is a hub for cloud development and rainfall. When a trough stalls or moves very slowly, rain can fall persistently over the same areas, significantly increasing the risk of flooding.
The trough will bring in a lot of tropical moisture from the Coral Sea, which will help create a lot of heavy rain. The combination of this moisture and the trough’s ability to lift it up creates the perfect conditions for a lot of rain and thunderstorms to happen at the same time.
How a Blocking High Pressure System Contributes
A blocking high pressure system that is centered over the Tasman Sea is making a significant contribution to this weather event by effectively trapping the rain-bearing system over Queensland. This atmospheric hurdle prevents the usual west-to-east movement of weather systems, causing the trough to stay in one place for days. The high pressure system is like a dam in the atmosphere, causing the weather to back up and concentrate rainfall over the same regions for a long period of time.
Travel Delays and Road Closures
As the rain continues to pour, travel routes are likely to be severely affected. The Queensland Department of Transport and Main Roads is anticipating a number of road closures across the impacted areas. If you’re planning to travel by road or air this weekend, be prepared for potential delays and cancellations.
Emergency responders are strongly advising against any non-essential travel during the peak of the weather event. Most flood-related deaths occur when people try to drive through floodwaters, often underestimating the depth and power of the moving water.
Road Closures Now
Many main roads are already closed due to early rainfall. The Bruce Highway has reported floods at several low-lying sections between Rockhampton and Brisbane, with more closures expected as the rain gets heavier. Local councils have started putting up warning signs at known problem areas, but conditions can change quickly during heavy rain.
Real-time updates are now available through the QLDTraffic website and app, as the Department of Transport and Main Roads has activated its flood monitoring system. If rainfall meets current predictions, major highways, including the Warrego and Cunningham Highways, are likely to experience partial or complete closures by Saturday.
Anticipated Travel Interruptions This Weekend
Domestic flights that pass through Brisbane, Rockhampton, and Sunshine Coast airports could face delays or cancellations as the weather system grows stronger. Public transport networks throughout southeast Queensland have started to put wet weather contingency plans into action, which could result in substantial changes to bus routes and train delays in areas where tracks cross flood-prone regions.
If you’re planning on traveling this weekend, you might want to think about delaying any trips that aren’t absolutely necessary. If you can’t avoid traveling, make sure to leave plenty of extra time and check the road conditions right before you leave and throughout your trip because things can change quickly.
Travel Tips During Flooding
- Don’t risk driving through floodwaters – even shallow, flowing water can carry vehicles away
- Plan your trip ahead of time, avoiding routes through low-lying areas
- Keep emergency supplies on hand, including water, non-perishable food, and blankets
- Make sure your mobile phone is fully charged before you leave
- Let someone know where you’re going and when you expect to arrive
- If you come across a flooded road, turn around – remember the saying: “If it’s flooded, forget it”
Getting Your Home and Family Ready
With the potential for dangerous weather on the way, now is the time to make sure your home and family are prepared. Taking steps before the heavy rain starts can greatly reduce the risk to your family and your property. Queensland Disaster Management recommends having everything ready by Thursday night before the weather gets worse.
1. Pack an Emergency Kit
Put together an emergency kit that will allow you to be self-sufficient for at least three days. This should include bottled water (10 liters per person), non-perishable food, medications, first aid supplies, a flashlight with extra batteries, a portable radio, phone chargers, and important documents stored in waterproof containers. If you have a baby in the house, make sure you have enough formula, diapers, and other essentials.
Keep your emergency kit in a location that is easy to reach, and make sure everyone in your family knows where it is. You might also want to put together a smaller, waterproof emergency kit that you can take with you if you need to evacuate.
2. Protect Your Home
Make sure to clean out your gutters and drains to allow water to flow without blockage. Also, tie down or store any loose items outside that could be blown away in strong winds or could float away in floodwaters. If your home is in an area that is prone to flooding, move your valuable items and electronics to higher places.
If your property is prone to flooding, you might want to use sandbags. A lot of local councils have set up places where you can pick up sandbags because they’re expecting it to rain. You can find out where these places are and if they have any sandbags left on your local council’s website.
3. Learn Your Escape Route
Get to know the safest escape routes from your home to higher ground or designated evacuation centers. Identify more than one route in case the main routes are blocked by floodwaters. Talk about these routes with everyone in your home and agree on a meeting point if family members are separated during an emergency.
4. Keep Yourself Updated
Make sure you have several methods to get emergency updates, such as battery-powered or hand-cranked radios, mobile gadgets, and connections to local emergency services websites. The Bureau of Meteorology’s website and app offer real-time radar and warning data. You might want to think about getting the Emergency+ app, which aids emergency services in finding you when you dial Triple Zero (000).
5. Safeguard Crucial Paperwork
Keep important paperwork like insurance policies, identification, property deeds, and medical records in waterproof containers or digitize them and store in cloud-based services. Photograph valuable possessions for potential insurance claims before the severe weather arrives.
Emergency Contact Info
It’s crucial to have emergency contact numbers on hand during a flood emergency. Keep a written list of important phone numbers with your emergency kit. Mobile phone batteries can run out and internet access may be unavailable during severe weather events, so it’s best to have a backup.
Queensland Disaster Management has set up a coordinated response system, placing resources strategically across the regions expected to be most affected. During peak emergency times, response times may be slower, so it’s important to be prepared.
Contact Information for Emergency Services
If you require emergency assistance due to flooding or storms, please reach out to the State Emergency Service (SES) at 132 500. In the event of a life-threatening emergency, please call Triple Zero (000) immediately. The Queensland Rural Fire Service and swift water rescue teams are on standby and prepared for the incoming heavy rainfall, with extra staff deployed to areas most at risk.
Where to Find Official Weather Updates
The Bureau of Meteorology is the official source for weather warnings and they post updates on their website (www.bom.gov.au) and app. They issue updates frequently as the weather changes and during severe events, flood warnings are typically updated every three hours. Local ABC radio stations also provide continuous updates and emergency information during severe weather by switching to emergency broadcasting.
For up-to-date warnings, evacuation notices, and relief information, check the Queensland Disaster Management website (disaster.qld.gov.au). You can also find real-time information on their social media channels during emergency situations.
Evacuation Center Details
If evacuation becomes necessary, local councils will announce the locations of the evacuation centers. These are usually schools, community halls, or sporting facilities that are situated on higher ground. If you need to evacuate, make sure to bring your emergency kit, medications, personal hygiene items, and bedding. For those with pets, you should also bring pet food, water, bedding, and restraints, as most evacuation centers have arrangements for domestic pets.
How to Stay Safe During a Flood: Important Tips
Aside from the clear threat of drowning, floodwaters carry a variety of unseen hazards. These often include sewage, chemicals, debris, and even wildlife that has been displaced, such as snakes. The power of moving water is often overlooked – a mere 15cm of rapidly moving water can knock an adult off their feet, while 60cm can carry a car away.
DON’T FORGET: If it’s flooded, forget it! No destination is worth risking your life. Floodwaters can be deceptively deep, flow faster than they appear, and may contain hidden hazards. Most flood-related fatalities occur when people attempt to cross flooded roads or waterways.
Ensure that children and pets stay away from floodwaters and storm drains. If it is safe to do so, keep an eye on elderly or vulnerable neighbors, especially those who live alone or have mobility issues. If you find yourself in rising water, get to the highest possible ground and call emergency services right away.
Once the floodwaters have gone down, take care when going back home. Make sure a licensed electrician checks your electrical systems before you switch the power back on, and throw away any food that floodwaters have touched. Keep following official advice about water safety and road closures, even after it stops raining.
Common Questions
Queensland Disaster Management has put together a list of responses to questions that are often asked about the current flood risk. As the situation progresses, these responses may change, so it’s important to keep an eye on official channels for the most up-to-date information.
What is the predicted rainfall for Queensland this weekend?
From Thursday to Sunday, the central and southeast regions of Queensland are expected to receive between 100-200mm of rainfall, with some areas possibly recording over 300mm. The heaviest rainfall is predicted to occur on Friday and Saturday when thunderstorm activity is expected to be at its highest.
The amount of rain that falls each day will change dramatically based on the movement and strength of storm cells. Some places may get 100mm or more in just a few hours, especially where thunderstorms remain in one place for a while.
The Bureau of Meteorology is constantly updating forecasts as they receive new data. The most accurate predictions are usually available 12-24 hours before a rainfall event.
Estimated Daily Rainfall (approximate ranges)
Thursday: 20-50mm
Friday: 40-100mm (more in storm-affected areas)
Saturday: 50-120mm
Sunday: 30-80mm
Which places are most likely to flood?
The places most likely to flood include the Central Highlands, Wide Bay-Burnett region, and Southeast Queensland including Brisbane, Ipswich, Gold Coast and Sunshine Coast. River catchments that we’re especially worried about include the Condamine-Balonne, Mary, Brisbane, and Logan-Albert systems. Urban areas with lots of concrete and not enough drainage are more likely to have flash floods.
Immediate precautionary measures should be implemented in low-lying areas with a history of flooding. If you’re unsure whether your property is at risk, check with your local council which maintains flood mapping for their region.
When can we expect the harsh weather to subside?
As per the latest weather forecasts, the weather system is likely to calm down late on Sunday or by Monday, once the high pressure system in the Tasman Sea starts to lose its intensity. But, even when the rain stops, the water levels in the rivers may continue to rise for a few more days as the water flows through the catchments.
The Bureau of Meteorology will keep a close eye on the situation and may issue further warnings if the system moves slower than currently predicted. River flood warnings usually last longer than rainfall warnings because floodwaters take time to recede.
It may take days or even weeks for the worst-hit areas to return to normal, including the reopening of roads and cleanup operations, especially if infrastructure is damaged.
Do I need to evacuate my home if I’m in a flood-prone area?
Obey evacuation orders from emergency services or local authorities immediately. If you live in a flood-prone area and no official evacuation order has been issued, use your discretion based on local conditions, past flooding events, and official flood warnings. Consider moving temporarily to friends or family on higher ground before conditions worsen, especially if you have mobility problems, medical needs, or young children.
What should I do if my road is flooded?
No matter what, don’t try to drive, walk, or ride through flooded areas. Most deaths in floods happen when people try to cross flooded roads. Just 15cm of moving water can knock a person off their feet, and 60cm can carry most cars away.
Should you encounter a flooded road, it’s best to turn back and seek an alternate route or postpone your trip. If you find yourself cut off by floodwaters, seek higher ground and contact emergency services if you are at risk. Keep children and pets out of flood-impacted areas and away from storm drains.
Queensland Disaster Management is encouraging residents to stay updated through official channels as this major weather event continues to develop. The best way to protect ourselves against the unpredictable forces of nature is through preparation and caution. For more information and regular updates, visit the Queensland Disaster Management website or get in touch with your local council.
Queensland is expected to experience heavy rainfall and potential flooding this weekend. Residents are urged to take necessary precautions and stay alert for any updates or warnings. Stay safe, Queensland!


