Key Takeaways
- Northland is already experiencing intense rainfall, with 30 mm recorded in one hour at Kaitaia around 5 am.
- Civil Defence has issued a forward‑looking warning for more heavy rain and strong winds, urging residents to prepare for surface flooding, slips, and possible power outages.
- River gauges on the Victoria, Waitangi, Kaihū and Te Puhi streams show rapid rises, indicating a high risk of flash flooding.
- Rainfall totals are highest in the Far North and central inland areas, with 24‑hour accumulations of 44.5 mm at Kāeo (Bramleys) and 37 mm at Waitangi (Ōhaeawai); further increases are expected as the main rain band moves across the region.
- A strong‑wind watch (the sixth this year) remains in force, with northeast winds approaching severe gale strength and gusts already reaching 115 km/h.
- While Northland faces a high‑impact weather event, parts of Tasman, Taranaki, Westland, Bay of Plenty and Gisborne/Tairāwhiti are forecast to receive even heavier rain totals.
- MetService describes the system as a “significant event affecting large parts of the country,” with possible downpours of up to 40 mm per hour overnight for Northland and Auckland.
- Residents are advised to secure outdoor furniture, avoid unnecessary travel, monitor updates, and be ready for power interruptions before going to bed tonight.
Current Weather Conditions in Northland
MetService meteorologist Paris Marshall reported that Northland is already under heavy rain, noting a burst of 30 mm in just one hour at Kaitaia around 5 am. This intense precipitation is part of a developing weather system that is expected to strengthen through the day. The early‑morning downpour has already begun to saturate soils and raise water levels in local waterways, setting the stage for further impacts as the system progresses.
Civil Defence Warning and Public Safety Advice
Civil Defence Northland issued a warning urging residents and holidaymakers to prepare for additional heavy rain and strong winds. The alert was brought forward, indicating that more intense rain is likely to redevelop later today, especially from Monday afternoon into the evening, with periods of localized downpours that could develop quickly. Motorists have been advised to reduce speed and stay alert for surface flooding, while the public is encouraged to secure outdoor furniture and prepare for possible power outages.
River Monitoring and Flood Risk
The Northland Regional Council’s live monitoring showed several rivers rising sharply this morning. Gauges on the Victoria, Waitangi, Kaihū and Te Puhi rivers recorded steep hourly increases, reflecting the steady rain already falling across the region. MetService warned that streams and rivers may rise rapidly, heightening the risk of surface flooding and slips, particularly in low‑lying and flood‑prone areas.
Rainfall Totals and Expected Accumulation
Rainfall has been heaviest in the Far North and central inland parts of Northland. Over the past 24 hours, the highest readings were recorded at Kāeo (Bramleys) with 44.5 mm and at Waitangi (Ōhaeawai) with 37 mm. These figures are expected to climb as the main rain band moves across Northland this afternoon and evening, potentially pushing total accumulations well above current levels and increasing the likelihood of flash flooding.
Strong Wind Watch and Gusts
A strong‑wind watch remains in place—the sixth such alert for this year—with northeast winds forecast to approach severe gale strength in exposed areas later today. Marshall noted that Northland has already recorded gusts up to 115 km/h, and these winds are anticipated to spread southward. Gusty conditions could make travel more difficult, especially on rural roads where wind‑driven debris and reduced visibility pose additional hazards.
Broader National Impact
While Northland is confronting a high‑impact weather event, MetService’s wider warnings indicate that other regions may experience even heavier rain. Parts of Tasman, Taranaki, Westland, the Bay of Plenty and Gisborne/Tairāwhiti are forecast to receive higher rainfall totals than Northland. The system is described by MetService as a “significant event affecting large parts of the country,” underscoring the nationwide scope of the disturbance.
Preparedness Advice for Residents
For Northland and Auckland, MetService warns that downpours of up to 40 mm per hour are possible overnight. Residents in flood‑prone areas are urged to take precautionary measures before going to bed tonight: clear drains, move valuables to higher ground, ensure emergency kits are ready, and stay informed through official channels. Securing loose items, avoiding unnecessary travel, and heeding any evacuation orders will help mitigate risks associated with intense rain, flooding, and strong winds.
About the Reporter
Sarah Curtis is a news reporter for the Northern Advocate, covering a wide range of issues. She brings nearly 20 years of journalistic experience to her role, most of which she spent reporting on the courts in Gisborne and the East Coast. Her background equips her to provide detailed, context‑rich coverage of developing weather events and their community impacts.

