Key Takeaways
- U.S. Special Forces Master Sergeant Gannon Ken Van Dyke allegedly used insider information to bet on the outcome of a covert operation that captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, earning roughly $400,000.
- Van Dyke placed 13 wagers totaling about $32,000 on the prediction‑market site Polymarket between Dec 27 and Jan 2, predicting Maduro would be “out” by early January.
- After the overnight capture of Maduro, Van Dyke transferred his profits to a foreign cryptocurrency vault before moving the funds to an online brokerage account.
- He faces five criminal charges related to securities and commodities fraud and will appear in U.S. District Court in North Carolina; no attorney is presently listed on the docket.
- The case highlights concerns about the misuse of classified or operational information for personal gain and has drawn scrutiny from federal prosecutors and the platforms facilitating such bets.
On Thursday, federal prosecutors unsealed an indictment charging Master Sergeant Gannon Ken Van Dyke, an active‑duty U.S. Special Forces soldier stationed at Fort Bragg, with five counts of securities and commodities fraud. According to the indictment, Van Dyke opened an account on Polymarket—a prominent online prediction‑market platform—in late December 2024. Between December 27 and January 2, he placed 13 separate bets, staking roughly $32,000 in total on the proposition that Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro would be “out” of power by early January. At the time, the wager was considered a long shot, given the political stability Maduro had enjoyed despite international pressure and sanctions.
The bets attracted immediate attention from law‑enforcement officials because of their size and timing. Shortly after Van Dyke placed his wagers, the U.S. military executed a covert operation codenamed “Operation Absolute Resolve.” In the early hours of January 3, special forces launched a nighttime raid on the presidential palace in Caracas, encountering heavy resistance but ultimately successfully extracting Maduro from the compound. The deposed leader was flown to New York to face federal drug‑trafficking‑related charges; he has pleaded not guilty to those allegations.
Prosecutors allege that Van Dyke’s bets were not mere speculation but were based on non‑public, operational knowledge he possessed as a participant in the planning and execution of the capture. After Maduro’s apprehension, Van Dyke allegedly moved more than $400,000 in winnings first to a foreign cryptocurrency vault—an attempt to obscure the trail—and later deposited the funds into an online brokerage account. The indictment argues that this conduct violates federal statutes prohibiting the use of material, non‑public information for personal profit in securities and commodities markets.
U.S. Attorney Jay Clayton for the Southern District of New York emphasized the breach of trust inherent in the case, stating that those entrusted with safeguarding national secrets have a duty to protect them—and the armed forces—rather than exploit that information for personal financial gain. The investigation was initially sparked by a tip received last month, prompting federal prosecutors to meet with representatives from Polymarket and the securities and commodities fraud unit in Manhattan to examine the platform’s role in the alleged scheme.
Van Dyke is scheduled for his first court appearance in North Carolina. As of the indictment’s release, no defense counsel has been entered on the docket, and the case remains active, with authorities indicating that further details may emerge as the investigation proceeds. The story continues to develop, and additional updates are expected as legal proceedings unfold.

