Image Source: Brandon Gustafson
Key Takeaways:
- The Houston Texans and Pittsburgh Steelers will face off in the NFL Super Wild Card Weekend matchup on Monday, January 12th.
- The Texans are 3-point road favorites, with the over/under for total points set at 38.5.
- The Steelers’ offense gets a boost with the return of star receiver DK Metcalf after a two-game suspension.
- The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and has made predictions for this matchup.
Introduction to the Matchup
The Houston Texans and Pittsburgh Steelers are set to face off in the NFL Super Wild Card Weekend matchup on Monday, January 12th. The Texans finished the regular season with a 12-5 record and made the postseason as the No. 5 seed in the AFC, thanks in large part to having the NFL’s best defense. The Steelers, on the other hand, survived the regular season and avoided losing the AFC North to the Baltimore Ravens, finishing with a 10-7 record. As the Steelers’ coach noted, "We’re excited to be in the playoffs, and we’re looking forward to the challenge of facing the Texans."
Game Details and Betting Preview
Kickoff from Acrisure Stadium is set for 8:15 p.m. ET, and the game will be broadcast on ESPN. The Texans are 3-point road favorites, with the over/under for total points set at 38.5. Both teams have gone 9-8 against the spread this year, with the Texans covering in five of their last seven games and the Steelers covering in four of their last five. The Texans have leaned towards the Under this season, while the Steelers are 9-8 to the Over. As one analyst noted, "The Texans’ defense has been impressive all season, but the Steelers’ offense has the potential to put up points with DK Metcalf back in the lineup."
Model’s Score Prediction and Picks
The SportsLine Projection Model has simulated every NFL game 10,000 times and has made predictions for this matchup. According to the model, the Steelers cover in well over 50% of simulations and win 49% of the time, returning value at +130 odds on the money line. The total of 38.5 is the lowest of the entire wild card slate, and the model has the Over hitting in 55% of simulations. The model’s score prediction is Texans 21, Steelers 21. As the model’s creator noted, "Our model takes into account a wide range of factors, including team performance, injuries, and coaching decisions, to make accurate predictions."
Texans vs. Steelers SGP
For those looking to place a same-game parlay (SGP) bet, the model recommends the following: Steelers +3, Over 38.5, and Nico Collins as an anytime touchdown scorer. This bet can be placed at DraftKings. As one betting expert noted, "SGP bets can be a fun and exciting way to bet on NFL games, and our model’s recommendations can help you make informed decisions."
Conclusion and Final Thoughts
In conclusion, the Houston Texans and Pittsburgh Steelers are set to face off in a highly anticipated NFL Super Wild Card Weekend matchup. The Texans’ defense will look to contain the Steelers’ offense, which gets a boost with the return of DK Metcalf. The SportsLine Projection Model has made predictions for this game, and bettors can use this information to make informed decisions. As one analyst noted, "This game has the potential to be a close and exciting matchup, and our model’s predictions can help you stay ahead of the curve."
https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/texans-vs-steelers-where-to-watch-nfl-wild-card-score-prediction-sportsbook-promos-odds-sgp-picks/
