Britain’s Pacific Blindspot

Key Takeaways:

  • The British parliament is reviewing the transfer of the Chagos Islands to Mauritius, which could impact US access to the Diego Garcia base.
  • The Diego Garcia base is a critical facility for US military operations in the Indo-Pacific region, supporting operations from the Middle East to the Pacific Ocean.
  • The transfer of sovereignty could lead to the denial of US forces in the region, giving China a significant advantage in its quest to colonize the region.
  • The treaty poses a serious threat to US national security interests in the Indian Ocean and threatens critical US military posture in the region.
  • The Chagossians, descendants of the people who were forced off their islands to make way for the base, were not consulted on the treaty and have no right of return under it.

Introduction to the Chagos Islands Dispute
The British government is currently reviewing the transfer of the Chagos Islands to Mauritius, which could have significant implications for American interests in the Indo-Pacific. The Chagos Archipelago, located in the Indian Ocean, is home to the Diego Garcia base, one of the US military’s most critical facilities. The base, known colloquially as the "footprint of freedom," is one of the few outside the United States that can reload nuclear submarines, port aircraft carriers, and base and launch strategic bombers, making it a vital component of US power projection in the region.

The Strategic Importance of Diego Garcia
The Diego Garcia base supports operations in some of the most strategically and economically important parts of the world, from the Middle East to Central Asia to the Pacific Ocean. Its location in the Indian Ocean provides a secure and protected environment for US military operations, making it a crucial asset for deterrence of China’s growing naval threat. The base is also critical for Space Force operations, and its loss could significantly impact US ability to project power in the region. The UK’s Labour government has cited "decolonization" as justification for the treaty, but this claim has been disputed by many, including the Chagossians themselves.

The Chagossians’ Perspective
The Chagossians, descendants of the roughly one thousand people who were forced off their islands over 50 years ago to make way for the base, have not been consulted on the treaty and have no right of return under it. Many have taken British citizenship and live in the UK with no links to Mauritius. The UK House of Lords survey of Chagossian views found widespread distrust of the Mauritian government and an urgent desire to be consulted on their own future. In desperation, a large group of Chagossians has supported the declaration of a "Government-in-Exile," which broadly supports the archipelago remaining part of the UK.

The Risks of the Treaty
From a US strategic perspective, the transfer of sovereignty poses significant risks. Mauritius has signed the African Nuclear-Weapons-Free Zone Treaty, which prohibits the research, development, manufacture, stockpiling, acquisition, testing, possession, control, or stationing of nuclear weapons on its soil. This could affect US use of the Diego Garcia facility and open the cognitive warfare space for a fundamental challenge to the presence, particularly from Chinese proxies who would welcome the denial of US forces in the region. Furthermore, under the agreement, if the United Kingdom fails to make any of the billions of dollars in payments to Mauritius, Mauritius can legally terminate the 99-year lease for the Diego Garcia base.

The Implications for US National Security
The treaty poses a serious threat to US national security interests in the Indian Ocean and threatens critical US military posture in the region. The Donald Trump administration’s recent National Security Strategy makes clear Washington’s commitment to defending a "free and open Indo-Pacific." Without Diego Garcia available for US power projection, China will gain a significant advantage in its quest to deny the United States access to the world’s most economically and militarily dynamic region. The UK-Mauritius Treaty, if it takes effect, will only make America’s effort to contain Beijing’s ambitions to colonize the region that much harder.

Conclusion
In conclusion, the transfer of the Chagos Islands to Mauritius poses significant risks to US national security interests in the Indian Ocean and threatens critical US military posture in the region. The treaty’s implications for US power projection in the Indo-Pacific are far-reaching, and the potential consequences of the loss of Diego Garcia as a US military facility are severe. As the British parliament reviews the treaty, it is essential to consider the long-term implications of this decision and the potential consequences for US national security. The US must carefully evaluate its options and work to ensure that its interests in the region are protected, while also considering the rights and interests of the Chagossians, who have been affected by the base’s presence for decades.

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