Image Source: @foxsports
Key Takeaways
- The Jacksonville Jaguars are slight favorites (-1.5) over the Buffalo Bills in their upcoming AFC Playoff game
- The total for the game is set at 51.5 points, with the Jaguars expected to take the Under
- The Jaguars have a strong defense, having held opponents under 20 points in six straight games, while the Bills have struggled with their defense, allowing 136.2 rushing yards per game
- Trevor Lawrence and Josh Allen are expected to be key players in the game, with Lawrence having thrown for 4,007 yards and 29 touchdowns this season, and Allen having thrown for 3,668 yards and 25 touchdowns
Introduction to the Matchup
The Buffalo Bills and Jacksonville Jaguars are set to face off in the AFC Playoffs, with the Jaguars being slight favorites at -1.5. The total for the game is set at 51.5 points, and the Jaguars are expected to take the Under. As stated in the article, "Jacksonville closed the regular season on an eight-game winning streak, and the defense played a major role by holding opponents under 20 points in six straight games." This impressive streak has given the Jaguars momentum heading into the playoffs.
Team Performance
The Jaguars have been on a roll, with Trevor Lawrence having a strong season with 4,007 passing yards and 29 touchdowns. As noted in the article, "Trevor Lawrence capped a strong season with 4,007 passing yards and 29 touchdowns, giving the Jaguars steady, high-level quarterback play heading into this matchup." The Bills, on the other hand, have been inconsistent, with Josh Allen throwing for 3,668 yards and 25 touchdowns, but the team struggling with their defense. As the article states, "Buffalo has been harder to trust week to week, especially on defense. The Bills allowed 136.2 rushing yards per game, which ranked 28th in the league, and that vulnerability could be an issue against a balanced Jacksonville offense."
Player Statistics
Both teams have key players who are expected to make an impact in the game. For the Bills, Josh Allen has been a standout, with 3,668 passing yards and 25 touchdowns, as well as 579 rushing yards and 14 rushing touchdowns. James Cook has also been impressive, with 1,621 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns. As the article notes, "James Cook’s rushing statline this season includes 1,621 yards (first in the NFL) and 12 TDs. He’s averaging 95.4 yards per game and 5.2 per attempt (second in the NFL)." For the Jaguars, Trevor Lawrence has thrown for 4,007 yards and 29 touchdowns, while Travis Etienne has rushed for 1,107 yards and seven touchdowns.
Betting Information
The Jaguars are favored at -1.5, and the total is set at 51.5 points. The Jaguars have gone 12-5-0 against the spread this season, and have been underdogs by 1.5 points or more eight times, with a 5-3 ATS record in those contests. As the article states, "Jacksonville is a slight favorite at -1.5 and playing at home at EverBank Stadium only strengthens the case. The total is set at 51.5 points, and the Jaguars are taking the Under in a game that profiles as more physical and defensive than the number suggests." The Bills have covered the spread six times this season when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites.
Game Details
The game is set to take place on Sunday, January 11, 2026, at 1 p.m. ET at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Florida. The game will be broadcast on CBS, and live boxscore will be available on FOX Sports. As the article notes, "Game date: Sunday, January 11, 2026, Time: 1 p.m. ET, Venue: EverBank Stadium, Location: Jacksonville, Florida, TV: CBS, Live Boxscore: FOX Sports."
Recent Matchups
The Jaguars have collected three wins against the Bills in their last five meetings. The Bills have tallied 100 points versus the Jaguars in their last five head-to-head matchups, while allowing only 75 points. As the article states, "Over their last five meetings, Jacksonville has collected three wins against Buffalo. In their last five head-to-head matchups, Buffalo has tallied 100 points versus Jacksonville, while allowing only 75 points." This history between the two teams could play a role in the upcoming game.
Conclusion
The Jaguars are slight favorites over the Bills in their upcoming AFC Playoff game, with a strong defense and a high-powered offense led by Trevor Lawrence. The Bills have struggled with their defense, and will need to step up their game if they hope to come out on top. As the article concludes, "Pick ATS: Jaguars (-1.5), Pick OU: Under (51.5), Prediction: Jaguars 28 – Bills 20." With the game expected to be a close and physical matchup, it will be exciting to see which team comes out on top.
https://www.foxsports.com/stories/nfl/bills-vs-jaguars-2025-wild-card-round-prediction-odds-picks-jan-11
